Macro

June Fed rate change

Probability

Yes

100%

New market. The price line begins as the book trades.

Key indicators

Book is active, with 76 trades in the last 24 hours.
Closes in 15 days, resolves Jun 17, 2026.

Release

FOMC June meeting · rate decision

U.S. Federal Reserve ↗

Current rate

5.25–5.50%

Prior change

HeldMay 7th

Prints

in 14 days

Timeline

Open now
Trading is live
Resolves Jun 17
in 15 days
Settles on-chain
Pays out shortly after

Open now
Trading is live
Resolves Jun 17
in 15 days
Settles on-chain
Pays out shortly after

Last 24 hours

Volume: 1.2kUSDC
Trades: 76
Settles via: HIP-4

How this resolves

Resolves to the official release figure from the issuing agency (BLS for CPI/PCE, the FOMC statement, BEA for GDP, etc.) at the scheduled announcement time. No interpretation. The printed number is what settles it.

HIP-4 o104Settles in USDCNon-custodial